Daily Archives: November 11, 2014

Is Educated Opinion Speculation?

Standard
Is Educated Opinion Speculation?
spec·u·la·tion
ˌspekyəˈlāSH(ə)n/
noun
noun: speculation; plural noun: speculations
  1. 1.
    the forming of a theory or conjecture without firm evidence.
    “there has been widespread speculation that he plans to  (_________) fill in the blank
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    An interesting tidbit that we studied last term was the phenomenon of speculation and how that can lead to fabrication of untruths.  I have watched this happen politically, and now I am watching it happen on a closer level.
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    What constitutes “firm evidence”?  Well, if you’re dealing with scientific evidence, the answer is simple.  One needs simply to determine if an empirical study is valid and reliable by using systematic means to do so…step…by step…..but what about in real life interactions with other people?  Where do you draw the line between mere opinion, speculation and educated opinion?
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    When a party that is directly involved in something,  conveys  information about a situation, this  causes me to form an educated opinion about it… both because I have been directly informed, and because I have observed certain behaviors (and continue to observe them) myself.  For instance, if my friend, Katy, came to me and confided certain events that were transpiring in her marriage, I would then have enough evidence to form an educated opinion about the situation.  That isn’t speculation. It is an informed opinion.  Plus, it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to determine that two people that fight the majority of the time are in a relationship that sucks.  Top that with spying, lying, cheating and public displays of insanity and well….It’s not speculation.
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    While it is true that some people do fabricate things from their imaginations, I don’t happen to be one of them .  There is no need to fabricate when you are being given direct information about something by one of the parties involved.  Right?  I do not stand on the outside of people and wager guesses about them. That would be unfair and unkind.   I form my opinions based on evidence.  I don’t make things up.  I exercise my educated opinion….or I keep my mouth shut.
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